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摘要: 约翰·格朗特(John Graunt, 1620-1674)是英国著名统计学家、政治算数学派代表人物之一。他首次提出“数据归约”概念以及鉴别数据异常值等统计思想, 并强调数据“可靠性”的重要性; 他运用差分法对伦敦市人口现象进行统计分析, 开创性地编制了世界上第一张生命表, 开启了人口统计学的大门。Abstract: John Graunt(1620-1674) is a famous British statistician and one of the representatives of the school of political arithmetic. He firstly put forward the concept of "data reduction", and identified outliers in data and other statistical ideas. In addition, he also stressed the importance of data "reliability". He carried out the statistical analysis of the population phenomenon in London using the difference methods, and compiled the world's first live table, which opened the door of demography.
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Key words:
- John Graunt /
- Live table /
- Difference methods /
- Historical personage /
- Public health
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[1] Campbell RB. John Graunt, John Arbuthnott, and the human sex ratio[J]. Hum Biol. 2001, 73(4)605-610.DOI: 10.1353/hub.2001.0048. [2] Murray EJ, Farland LV, Caniglia EC, et al. Is this a portrait of John Graunt?An art history mystery[J]. Am J Epidemiol. 2019: kwz212.DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwz212. [3] Lancaster HO.An early statistician-John GRAUNT (1620-1674)[J].Med J Aust.1962, 49(2):734-738. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/13928392 [4] Rothman KJ. Lessons from John Graunt[J]. Lancet. 1996, 347(8993): 37-39.DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(96)91562-7. [5] Wynder EL. A corner of history: John Graunt, 1620-1674, the father of demography[J]. Prev Med. 1975, 4(1): 85-88.DOI: 10.1016/0091-7435(75)90057-2. [6] 叶冬青.公共卫生发展简史[M].北京, 人民卫生出版社, 2016.Ye DQ. A brief history of public health development[M]. Beijing, People's Medical Publishing House, 2016.
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