Citation: | LIU Li-jun, LIU Yu, ZHOU Xing-yu, ZHANG Jia-ke, LI Wei, QI Qi. Analysis of epidemiological characteristics of Japanese encephalitis in Sichuan Province from 2008 to 2018 and application of autoregressive integrated moving average model[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2019, 23(8): 916-921. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2019.08.007 |
[1] |
沈忠周, 马帅, 曲翌敏, 等. ARIMA模型在我国法定传染病报告数中的应用[J]. 中华流行病学杂志, 2017, 38(12): 1708-1712. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2017.12.025.
Shen ZZ, Ma S, Qu YM, et al. Application of autoregressive integrated moving average model in predicting the reported notifiable communicable diseases in China[J]. Chin J Epidemiol, 2017, 38(12): 1708-1712. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2017.12.025.
|
[2] |
Zhang R, Li F, Liu J, et al. Time series models for short term prediction of the incidence of Japanese encephalitis in Xianyang City, China[J]. Chin Med Sci J, 2017, 32(3): 152. DOI: 10.24920/J1001-9294.2017.036.
|
[3] |
吴丹, 宁桂军, 尹遵栋, 等. 中国2011~2013年流行性乙型脑炎流行病学特征分析[J]. 中国疫苗和免疫, 2015, 16(5): 486-490. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJM201505004.htm
Wu D, Ning GJ, Yin ZD, et al. Epidemiological characteristics of Japanese encephalitis in China from 2011 to 2013[J]. Chinese Journal of Vaccines and Immunization, 2015, 16(5): 486-490. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJM201505004.htm
|
[4] |
尹遵栋, 罗会明, 李艺星, 等. 时间序列分析(自回归求和移动平均模型)在流行性乙型脑炎预测中的应用[J]. 中国疫苗和免疫, 2010, 16(5): 457-461. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJM201005022.htm
Yin ZD, Luo HM, Li YX, et al. The application of autoregressive integrated moving average model on the prediction of Japanese encephalitis cases[J]. Chinese Journal of Vaccines and Immunization, 2010, 16(5): 457-461. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGJM201005022.htm
|
[5] |
乔治·博克斯. 时间序列分析: 预测与控制[M]. 北京: 人民邮电出版社, 2005.
George B. Time series analysis: forecasting and control[M]. Beijing: People's Posts and Telecommunications Press, 2005.
|
[6] |
Halstead SB, Jacobson J. Japanese Encephalitis[M]. Vaccines, 2018: 312-351.
|
[7] |
Sarkari NBS, Thacker AK, Barthwal SP, et al. Japanese encephalitis (JE) part Ⅱ: 14 Years' follow-up of survivors[J]. J Neuro, 2012, 259(1): 58-69. DOI: 10.1007/s00415-011-6131-9.
|
[8] |
Campbell GL, Hills SL, Fischer M, et al. Estimated global incidence of Japanese encephalitis: a systematic review[J]. Bull the World Health Organ, 2015, 89(10): 766-774, 774A-774E. 10.2471/BLT. DOI: 10.2471/BLT.10.085233.
|
[9] |
芮莉萍, 张丽, 刘铭, 等. 2011-2015年贵州省流行性乙型脑炎流行特征分析[J]. 现代预防医学, 2017, 44(4): 584-587. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDYF201704003.htm
Ri LP, Zhang L, Liu M, et al. Epidemiological characteristics analysis on Japanese encephalitis in Guizhou Province from 2011 to 2015[J]. Modern Prevent Med, 2017, 44(4): 584-587. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XDYF201704003.htm
|
[10] |
蔡亚男, 魏亚梅, 许永刚, 等. 河北省2011-2015年流行性乙型脑炎流行病学特征分析[J]. 实用预防医学, 2018, 25(5): 551-553. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-3110.2018.05.010.
Cai YN, Wei YM, Xu YG, et al. Epidemiological characteristics of Japanese encephalitis in Hebei Province, 2011-2015[J]. Pract Prev Med, 2018, 25(5): 551-553. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-3110.2018.05.010.
|
[11] |
胡雅劼, 余技钢, 钱薇萍, 等. 2014-2016年四川省三带喙库蚊的动态监测[J]. 中华卫生杀虫药械, 2017, 23(6): 552-554. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WSSC201706017.htm
Hu YJ, Yu JG, Qian WP, et al. Surveillance of culex tritaeniorhynchus in Sichuan Province from 2014 to 2016[J]. Chin J Hyg Insert & Equip, 2017, 23(6): 552-554. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-WSSC201706017.htm
|
[12] |
郭杨, 周兴余. 2011-2014年四川省流行性乙型脑炎流行特征分析[J]. 预防医学情报杂志, 2016, 32(5): 458-461. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YFYX201605012.htm
Guo Y, Zhou XY. Epidemiological characteristics of Japanese encephalitis in Sichuan, 2011-2014[J]. J Prev Med Inf, 2016, 32(5): 458-461. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YFYX201605012.htm
|
[13] |
姜澒月, 李海蓉, 杨林生, 等. 河南省流行性乙型脑炎时空分布特征及影响因素研究[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2016, 27(2): 128-132. DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2016.02.009.
Jiang HY, Li HR, Yang LS, et al. Analysis on spatiotemporal patterns and driving factors of Japanese encephalitis in Henan Province[J]. Chin J Vector Biol & Control, 2016, 27(2): 128-132. DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2016.02.009.
|