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CN 34-1304/RISSN 1674-3679

Volume 25 Issue 6
Jul.  2021
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Article Contents
ZHAO Hong-yu, FENG Yi-ping, MA Xiao-tian, PAN Feng-ming, WU Xin-ying, WANG Shu-kang, JI Xiao-kang, ZHANG Zhen-tang, WANG Qing, XUE Fu-zhong. Application of Bayesian additive regression tree model in the evaluation of individualized efficacy of hypertension drugs[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2021, 25(6): 637-643. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.06.004
Citation: ZHAO Hong-yu, FENG Yi-ping, MA Xiao-tian, PAN Feng-ming, WU Xin-ying, WANG Shu-kang, JI Xiao-kang, ZHANG Zhen-tang, WANG Qing, XUE Fu-zhong. Application of Bayesian additive regression tree model in the evaluation of individualized efficacy of hypertension drugs[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2021, 25(6): 637-643. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.06.004

Application of Bayesian additive regression tree model in the evaluation of individualized efficacy of hypertension drugs

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.06.004
ZHAO Hong-yu and FENG Yi-ping contributed equally to this article
Funds:

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2020YFC2003500

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81773547

Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province ZR2019ZD02

More Information
  •   Objective  To evaluate the personalized efficacy of captopril and its drug combination with nitrendipine on blood pressure control by Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model, and to identify subgroup characteristics of high-yield patients, taking people with hypertension and diabetes as samples.  Methods  According to different medication modes, the patients with hypertension and diabetes who were included in the "Comprehensive Prevention and Control Project of Hypertension and Diabetes for All Populations" in Jiaonan, Shandong Province from January 2011 to July 2015 were divided into three groups. The propensity score was used to randomize the matching formation and to get comparable samples, then BART model was established to explore the personalized efficacy of medication.  Results  In the comparison between captopril alone and no medication, combination medication and no medication, combined medication and captopril alone, the area under curre (AUC) of the three groups of models and their 95% CI were 0.710 (0.686-0.734), 0.796 (0.754-0.838) and 0.768 (0.725-0.812), respectively. And for most patients, the combined medication effect was better than the single captopril and no medicine. Among them, lower systolic blood pressure and good exercise habits were the common characteristics of those who used captopril alone and combination drugs that had better efficacy compared with those who did not use drugs.  Conclusion  The constructed BART model is used to predict the personalized efficacy of hypertension drugs in patients with hypertension and diabetes, which can be used to summarize the characteristics of high-yield subgroups, and also provide the basis for the practice of precision medicine in the treatment of hypertension.
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