Prediction of 10-year risk for ischemic cardiovascular disease in adults aged 35 years old and above in Nanjing

WANG Wei-wei; SU Jian; HONG Xin; YANG Hua-feng; QI Sheng-xiang; WANG Chen-chen; ZHOU Hai-rong; LI Chao; YE Qing; QIN Zhen-zhen; WU Jie; ZHOU Jin-yi

doi:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.07.018

Volume 25 Issue 7

Aug. 2021

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Article Navigation > CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION > 2021 > 25(7): 837-842

WANG Wei-wei, SU Jian, HONG Xin, YANG Hua-feng, QI Sheng-xiang, WANG Chen-chen, ZHOU Hai-rong, LI Chao, YE Qing, QIN Zhen-zhen, WU Jie, ZHOU Jin-yi. Prediction of 10-year risk for ischemic cardiovascular disease in adults aged 35 years old and above in Nanjing[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2021, 25(7): 837-842. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.07.018

Citation:

WANG Wei-wei, SU Jian, HONG Xin, YANG Hua-feng, QI Sheng-xiang, WANG Chen-chen, ZHOU Hai-rong, LI Chao, YE Qing, QIN Zhen-zhen, WU Jie, ZHOU Jin-yi. Prediction of 10-year risk for ischemic cardiovascular disease in adults aged 35 years old and above in Nanjing[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2021, 25(7): 837-842. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.07.018

Citation:

WANG Wei-wei, SU Jian, HONG Xin, YANG Hua-feng, QI Sheng-xiang, WANG Chen-chen, ZHOU Hai-rong, LI Chao, YE Qing, QIN Zhen-zhen, WU Jie, ZHOU Jin-yi. Prediction of 10-year risk for ischemic cardiovascular disease in adults aged 35 years old and above in Nanjing[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2021, 25(7): 837-842. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.07.018

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Prediction of 10-year risk for ischemic cardiovascular disease in adults aged 35 years old and above in Nanjing

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2021.07.018

1.
Department of Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing 210003, China
2.
Department of Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing 210009, China

Funds:

Nanjing Municipal Medical Science and Technique Development Foundation ZKX18049

Nanjing Municipal Medical Science and Technique Development Foundation YKK17199

More Information

Corresponding author: ZHOU Jin-yi, E-mail: zhoujinyi74@sina.com
Received Date: 2020-05-30
Rev Recd Date: 2020-10-17

Available Online: 2021-08-13

Publish Date: 2021-07-10

Abstract

Abstract

Objective To understand the exposure of risk factors related to Ischemia Cardiovascular Disease (ICVD) in a population aged ≥35 years in Nanjing and to estimate their 10-year risk of ICVD. Methods Multi-stage stratified cluster sampling method was used to randomly select 61 098 permanent residents ≥18 years of age in Nanjing. A total of 36 079 people aged ≥35 years old with no history of ICVD were selected as the study subjects. The "10-year Risk Assessment Table of ICVD in Chinese" was used to assess the risk of ICVD. Results The subjects were (53.8 ± 11.7) years old, including 17 681 men (49.0%) and 18 398 women (51.0%). The score of 10-year risk for ICVD was (5.1 ± 3.7) points, and the absolute risk was 2.1% (0.8%-5.4%); of which, the proportion of ICVD 10-year incidence risk ≥10% was 12.6%, and women were higher than men (15.0% vs 10.1%). Besides, the risk score was found increased with age, and the differences among different age groups were statistically significant (P < 0.001). The proportion of people with ICDV risk factors ≥3 was 23.0%, and the proportion of men is higher than that of women (31.8% vs 14.6%), and the difference was also statistically significant (χ²=1 509.07, P < 0.001). Among the total risk score of ICVD, smoking (34.8%) and BMI (32.5%) accounted for the highest proportion in male and female, respectively. Conclusion The risk of ICVD ≥10% in the population aged ≥35 years old in Nanjing in the next 10 years has exceeded 10%. Attention should be paid to the elderly, abnormal weight and hypertension population. Men should strengthen tobacco control, and women should strengthen weight health management.
- Ischemia cardiovascular disease,
- Risk factors,
- Risk evaluation

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References(15)

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