Comparative study on epidemiological characteristics and public health interventions of COVID-19 among China, South Korea, the United States and France based on the poisson regression model

ZHANG Yu-qin; CHEN Shi-rui; WANG Xin-ran; LIN Xiao; CHEN Xiu-yuan; HAO Yuan-tao

doi:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.02.004

Volume 27 Issue 2

Feb. 2023

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ZHANG Yu-qin, CHEN Shi-rui, WANG Xin-ran, LIN Xiao, CHEN Xiu-yuan, HAO Yuan-tao. Comparative study on epidemiological characteristics and public health interventions of COVID-19 among China, South Korea, the United States and France based on the poisson regression model[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(2): 142-147. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.02.004

Citation:

ZHANG Yu-qin, CHEN Shi-rui, WANG Xin-ran, LIN Xiao, CHEN Xiu-yuan, HAO Yuan-tao. Comparative study on epidemiological characteristics and public health interventions of COVID-19 among China, South Korea, the United States and France based on the poisson regression model[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(2): 142-147. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.02.004

Citation:

ZHANG Yu-qin, CHEN Shi-rui, WANG Xin-ran, LIN Xiao, CHEN Xiu-yuan, HAO Yuan-tao. Comparative study on epidemiological characteristics and public health interventions of COVID-19 among China, South Korea, the United States and France based on the poisson regression model[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(2): 142-147. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.02.004

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Comparative study on epidemiological characteristics and public health interventions of COVID-19 among China, South Korea, the United States and France based on the poisson regression model

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.02.004

1.
Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China
2.
Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & Response, Beijing 100191, China
3.
Sun Yat-sen Global Health Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China
4.
Center for Health Information Research, Sun Yat-sen Universiy, Guangzhou 510080, China

Funds:

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81973150

GuangDong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation 2020A1515011294

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation Funded Project 2021M693594

Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation 2021A1515011765

More Information

Corresponding author: HAO Yuan-tao, E-mail: haoyt@mail.sysu.edu.cn, haoyt@mail.sysu.edu.cn
Received Date: 2021-10-08
Rev Recd Date: 2022-04-03

Available Online: 2023-02-20

Publish Date: 2023-02-10

Abstract

Abstract

Objective To analyze the trend of COVID-19 epidemic and to comparatively evaluate effects of economic policies, containment and closure policies and health system policies in China, South Korea, the United States (US) and France. Methods Daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and daily comprehensive policy index, specific indicators in mainland China, South Korea, US and France were collected. Considering the lag effect of policy effects, poisson regression model was established to estimate the daily real-time regeneration (Rt), and the log-log model with variable coefficient was used to compare the prevention and control effects of policies and measures in different countries. Results Containment and closure policies and health system policies were negatively correlated with Rt, and the cumulative lag effect weakens with the increase of lag time. Economic policies were negatively correlated with Rt only in US and France. The effect of American and French policies on Rt was weaker than that of China and South Korea. Conclusion Containment and closure policies and health system policies have a great effect on reducing Rt and controlling the epidemic, the timely and powerful comprehensive blockade measures at the early stage of the epidemic have better effects than mitigation measures.
- COVID-19,
- Poisson regression,
- Policy evalution,
- Risk evaluation

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References(19)

References

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