Analysis of trends in thyroid cancer deaths in China from 1990 to 2019

YAO Chengzhi; XU Jieru; ZHANG Min; DUAN Zhaohui; ZHAO Xiangling; XIONG Wenjing; RANG Weiqing

doi:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.06.019

Volume 27 Issue 6

Jun. 2023

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YAO Chengzhi, XU Jieru, ZHANG Min, DUAN Zhaohui, ZHAO Xiangling, XIONG Wenjing, RANG Weiqing. Analysis of trends in thyroid cancer deaths in China from 1990 to 2019[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(6): 726-732. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.06.019

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YAO Chengzhi, XU Jieru, ZHANG Min, DUAN Zhaohui, ZHAO Xiangling, XIONG Wenjing, RANG Weiqing. Analysis of trends in thyroid cancer deaths in China from 1990 to 2019[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2023, 27(6): 726-732. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.06.019

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Analysis of trends in thyroid cancer deaths in China from 1990 to 2019

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2023.06.019

1.
Department of Social Medicine and Health Administration, School of Public Health, University of South China, Hengyang 421001, China
2.
Department of traditional Chinese medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of South China, Hengyang 421001, China

Funds:

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81673107

More Information

Corresponding author: RANG Weiqing, E-mail: nhurwq@126.com
Received Date: 2022-04-03
Rev Recd Date: 2022-06-10

Available Online: 2023-07-10

Publish Date: 2023-06-10

Abstract

Abstract

Objective This study aims to analyze the trends in thyroid cancer mortality among males and females in China from 1990 to 2019, and to explore the underlying causes of the gender-based trend disparities and identify high-risk groups. Methods Thyroid cancer mortality data of males and females aged 5- < 95 years in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected and collated from the Global Health Data Exchange. Age-period-cohort (APC) model was used to analyze the influence of age, period and cohort on the mortality of thyroid cancer. Results The standardized mortality rate of male thyroid cancer continued to rise from 1990 until it peaked in 2013, after which it started to decline gradually. Meanwhile, the age-standardized mortality rate of female thyroid cancer consistently decreased. APC model showed that the net drift of males and females was 1.38% and -2.94%, respectively. Both genders demonstrated an increase in thyroid cancer death risk with age, with the ascending trend of the "J" shape being more pronounced in men. In males, the risk of thyroid death increased with time and cohort, while that of females decreased with time and cohort. Conclusions The age-standardized mortality rate of thyroid cancer among men first increased and then gradually declined, whereas it continuously decreased among women. Older women, particularly those born earlier, demonstrated a higher risk of dying from thyroid cancer. Meanwhile, older men, especially those born more recently, were found to have an elevated risk of death.
- Thyriod cancer,
- Mortality,
- Age-period-cohort model

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References(27)

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