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CN 34-1304/RISSN 1674-3679

Volume 29 Issue 6
Jun.  2025
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Article Contents
CHEN Yu, LYU Hengliang, ZHENG Zitong, Maimaiti Jiang·Wubuliaishan, Baharguli·Abulizi, Abudulitipu·Balati, XU Yuanyong, ZHANG Wenyi, LU Junfeng. Study on the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis and its correlation with meteorological factors in Hotan Region from 2016 to 2022[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2025, 29(6): 713-719. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2025.06.013
Citation: CHEN Yu, LYU Hengliang, ZHENG Zitong, Maimaiti Jiang·Wubuliaishan, Baharguli·Abulizi, Abudulitipu·Balati, XU Yuanyong, ZHANG Wenyi, LU Junfeng. Study on the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis and its correlation with meteorological factors in Hotan Region from 2016 to 2022[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2025, 29(6): 713-719. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2025.06.013

Study on the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis and its correlation with meteorological factors in Hotan Region from 2016 to 2022

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2025.06.013
Funds:

Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation 7232080

Capital Clinical Diagnostic Technology Research and Clinical Translation Initiative Z221100007422063

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  •   Objective  To analyze the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis in Hotan Prefecture from 2016 to 2022 and to explore the impact of meteorological factors on the risk of tuberculosis onset, aiming to provide a reference basis for preventing and controlling the epidemic of tuberculosis.  Methods  Descriptive research was employed to analyze the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis in Hotan Prefecture in terms of time, region, and population from 2016 to 2022. The distributed lag non-linear model was utilized to analyze the impact of different meteorological conditions on the daily incidence of tuberculosis.  Results  From 2016 to 2022, a total of 38 006 tuberculosis patients were reported in Hotan Prefecture. The incidence number among males was higher than that among females. Farmers and patients aged 60- < 70 accounted for the highest proportion. The average annual number of reported cases was relatively high in Luopu County (1 070 cases) and Moyu County (1 047 cases), and Luopu County had the highest average annual incidence rate (377.95 per 100 000). Low average temperature was a risk factor for tuberculosis onset. At -11.00 ℃, the relative risk (RR) value was the highest (RR=1.27, 95% CI: 0.74-2.18), but there was no significant difference, and with a lag of 3 days, the risk of onset was the highest (RR=2.58, 95% CI: 1.44-4.60). Relatively low or high humidity would increase the risk of tuberculosis onset. When the cunulative sunshine exposure time exceeded 12 hours, the RR values were all greater than 1.00 (P < 0.05), and with a lag of 2 days, the risk of onset was the highest (RR=1.10, 95% CI: 0.98-1.24).  Conclusions  Tuberculosis patients in Hotan Prefecture are mainly concentrated among farmers and the elderly population. The tuberculosis burden is relatively high in Luopu and Yutian County. Attention should be paid to the impact of low average temperature, relatively low or high humidity, and long cumulative sunshine duration on tuberculosis.
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