Spatiotemporal and epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province, 2010-2021

LIU Lisha; ZHANG Ning; LI Xuan; DUAN Chunyuan; JIA Xinjing; ZHANG Wenyi; JIA Ruizhong; GUO Jinpeng; WANG Binbing; WANG Yong

doi:10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.004

Volume 28 Issue 2

Feb. 2024

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Article Navigation > CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION > 2024 > 28(2): 146-151

LIU Lisha, ZHANG Ning, LI Xuan, DUAN Chunyuan, JIA Xinjing, ZHANG Wenyi, JIA Ruizhong, GUO Jinpeng, WANG Binbing, WANG Yong. Spatiotemporal and epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province, 2010-2021[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2024, 28(2): 146-151. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.004

Citation:

LIU Lisha, ZHANG Ning, LI Xuan, DUAN Chunyuan, JIA Xinjing, ZHANG Wenyi, JIA Ruizhong, GUO Jinpeng, WANG Binbing, WANG Yong. Spatiotemporal and epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province, 2010-2021[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2024, 28(2): 146-151. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.004

Citation:

LIU Lisha, ZHANG Ning, LI Xuan, DUAN Chunyuan, JIA Xinjing, ZHANG Wenyi, JIA Ruizhong, GUO Jinpeng, WANG Binbing, WANG Yong. Spatiotemporal and epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province, 2010-2021[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION, 2024, 28(2): 146-151. doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.004

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Spatiotemporal and epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province, 2010-2021

doi: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2024.02.004

LIU Lisha^{1, 2},
ZHANG Ning³,
LI Xuan^{1, 2},
DUAN Chunyuan^{2, 4},
JIA Xinjing^{2, 4},
ZHANG Wenyi^{1, 2, 4},
JIA Ruizhong²,
GUO Jinpeng²,
WANG Binbing³,
WANG Yong^{1, 2, 4
,
,}

1.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, China
2.
Emergency Response, Chinese People′s Liberation Army Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100071, China
3.
Immunization Planning Institute, Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hefei 230601, China
4.
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, China

LIU Lisha and ZHANG Ning contributed equally to this article

Funds:

National Natural Science Foundation of China 12031010

National Science and Techrolclogy Major Poject 2018ZX10713003

More Information

Corresponding author: WANG Yong, E-mail: ywang7508@sina.com
Received Date: 2023-07-27
Rev Recd Date: 2023-10-24

Available Online: 2024-03-30

Publish Date: 2024-02-10

Abstract

Abstract

Objective This study aimed to analyze the temporal, spatial, and population distribution and spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of mumps in Anhui Province from 2010 to 2021, understand its epidemiological pattern, and to provide a basis for the development of prevention and control strategies. Methods The reported cases of mumps in Anhui Province from 2010 to 2021 were collected from the Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention. ArcGIS 10.8, Geoda 1.20, and SaTScan 10.1.2 were used to conduct descriptive epidemiological, spatial auto-correlation, and spatiotemporal scanning analyses of mumps in Anhui Province. Results The annual average incidence of mumps was 23.08/100 000 in Anhui Province during 2010-2021, with two peak epidemic periods. The chi-square trend test for incidence showed a downward trend with the years (χ² =10 287.75, P < 0.001). The sex ratio of males to females was 1.67∶1. The highest proportions of cases were aged 5- < 15 years (68.91%) and students (67.89%). Additionally, the two seasonal peaks of mumps occurred from weeks 14 to 28 and from week 46 to week 4 of the following year. The spatial auto-correlation analysis results showed that except for 2012, 2014, and 2015, the Moran′s I indexes indicated positive spatial correlations (P < 0.05). The spatiotemporal scan analysis identified a total of ten clusters, of which the first clustering area was distributed in 26 districts and counties of Anhui Province, with a clustering period of 2011―2013, a radius of 144 km and a log likelihood ratio (LLR) value of 7 803.80. Conclusions Based on the findings, there is a cyclical pattern and declining trend of mumps in Anhui Province. In the future, disease surveillance and early warnings for susceptible populations and hotspots should continue to be strengthened to prevent and control the prevalence of mumps.
- Mumps,
- Epidemiological characteristics,
- Spatial auto-correlation analysis,
- Spatiotemporal scan analysis

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References(18)

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